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  • Squawk / 04 December 2017 at 7:00 GMT
    Founder, Owner, Director / Market Chartist
    United Kingdom
    S&P500 Mas See Limited Upside in Near-term; Beware of A Reversal
    by Gregor Horvat

    S&P500 is still trading bullish, now accelerating within final stages of a bigger blue wave five after a completed wave 4) at 2554 a week back. It was a nice base of fourth waves from where we can see a new impulse began, ideally red wave 5) that is now trading into some Fibonacci resistance levels, right here at the upper Elliott Wave channel resistance line. A throw-over formation is possible that can lead to a prolonged move, but if it falls back into that channel then this can suggest a bearish turn.

    Go here for more details: https://www.fxexplained.co.uk/forex-articles/current-market-analysis/s-beware-reversal/
    Read the Squawk
  • Squawk / 07 November 2017 at 6:33 GMT
    Founder, Owner, Director / Market Chartist
    United Kingdom
    Trump names Jay Powell to replace Janet Yellen as Fed chair

    A great explanatory, educational article here by Stephen Pope on FXExplained.co.uk, regarding the change of leadership at the Fed.

    There is a to be change at the top of the Federal Reserve
    Jerome “Jay” Powell will succeed Janet Yellen in February 2018
    He is not that different in his approach to monetary policy
    He will be more business friendly, especially toward financial services

    See the full article here:
    https://www.fxexplained.co.uk/forex-articles/fundamental-and-macroeconomic-analysis/trump-names-jay-powell-replace-janet-yellen-fed-chair/
    Read the Squawk
  • 08 September
    ashrafj1 ashrafj1
    Hi Peter do you recommend to join trade idea now ?
    08 September
    Peter Garnry Peter Garnry
    Our general view is that the value is now greater in this basket than yesterday. Our stop loss is still the same 5% on the total basket,...
    08 September
    Peter Garnry Peter Garnry
    European reinsurers and P&C insurers are down today probably just aligning to US movements yesterday. But today is going to be very interesting as this will be...
  • 06 July
    Georgio Stoev Georgio Stoev
    the trade is a long vertical put spread, e.g. Buy +1 EC2:XCME 2420 PUT at 12.00
    ...
    06 July
    Cat Almighty Cat Almighty
    Georgio, correct ticker is E2C, not EC2.

    "CME Globex: E1C,E2C,E3C,E4C,E5C"
    06 July
    Georgio Stoev Georgio Stoev
    E2C is correct, my fault.
  • Trade view / 30 June 2017 at 14:06 GMT
    Medium term
    /
    Sell

    S&P 500 iron condor for wobbly market — SaxoStrats

    Product Manager, Trader, Educator
    Denmark
    Fear in the market is rising as the Fed seems to be getting ahead of a slowing economy. The S&P 500 has failed to break above 2,450 points and looks likely to stay range-bound between now and the quarterly earnings season. The next FOMC meeting is expected to be a non-event, though US nonfarm payrolls next Friday may be crucial.
    Read the Trade View
    30 June
    TastyTrend TastyTrend
    Will there be any disadvantage in trying with SPY?
    30 June
    TastyTrend TastyTrend
    How can we use integrated risk graph on Saxo Platform?
    30 June
    Georgio Stoev Georgio Stoev
    No, there wouldn't be. SPY options are very liquid as well. SPX has larger notional value (10x SPY) and hence premium are little better. The P/L graph...
  • 07 June
    aslan.g aslan.g
    Hi Georgio, a novice options trader question: when you say close, are we to close all 4 positions?
    07 June
    aslan.g aslan.g
    Ups, sorry, I mixed this up with Peter's S&P trade idea. Please disregard the the question above.
    07 June
    Georgio Stoev Georgio Stoev
    No problem:)
  • Trade view / 25 April 2017 at 14:36 GMT
    Medium term
    /
    Buy

    Getting into the S&P 500 with a bull call spread

    Product Manager, Trader, Educator
    Denmark
    Positive momentum from strong earnings, continued low interest rates and stable growth seem likely to be good for US equities, at least in the short term. We offer a trade idea to benefit from the S&P 500's potential with a bull call spread.
    Read the Trade View
  • Trade view / 15 March 2017 at 10:41 GMT
    Medium term
    /
    Sell

    S&P 500 ready for a setback? – #SaxoStrats

    Head of Equity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    We are selling the S&P 500 ahead of Wednesday's Fed meeting based on four arguments: excessive valuation, potential upside risk to the Fed's outlook, downward pressure on oil prices and expected softness in US economic data over the coming months.
    Read the Trade View
    15 March
    Peter Garnry Peter Garnry
    the puts mentioned in the trade idea are now offered at $4.36 down from $4.60 on the open. The puts with strike at $238 instead of $237...
    16 March
    mud481 mud481
    Hi, Peter, whats your opinon on Germany 30 ( ger30.1)?
    17 March
    AdamBarnard AdamBarnard
    Hi Peter, do I still do the same trade, with the $238 or $237's ?
  • Squawk / 24 February 2017 at 8:27 GMT
    Chief Economist & CIO / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Risky business?

    Peter Garnry has voiced concerns about valuation and our proprietary models continues to flash warning signal.

    This is Z-score risk - S&P vs. Saxo RISK model - we see major divergence presently - the correlation is normally v. high...

    This is clear warning signal
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    24 February
    Blange Blange
    Good day Steen, are you saying that is going to be soon a rollercoaster and suggesting us to cash in all our assets?
    24 February
    helicongrowth helicongrowth
    Schatz and German yields are flashing EU election worries, then we have Trump policy delays with v high equity valuations. It is time for a correction which...