• All
  • Articles
  • Squawks
  • Trade views
  • Must reads
  • Videos
  • Calendar
Write a Squawk
No posts
  • Squawk / Friday at 21:19 GMT
    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    Quiet trading Friday in the US ahead of a long weekend (markets closed Monday for President’s day)

    The S&P 500 made a small gain, USD index rose (mainly because of a weak EUR); bond yields were down a touch.

    Note in the chart below that the USD index is not reacting to the rising prob. of a March 15 rate hike. Since 1994 the Fed has never moved unless market pricing in the lead up was at least 75%. Today March is priced at only 40%. Even June is marginal.

    But plenty of Fed speakers next week with a chance to “guide” the market.

    Meanwhile Pres.Trump is promising more “tremendous” announcements.

    The second chart shows the US fed funds curve in a global context. Only the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is priced to follow a similar track to higher rates.
    Read the Squawk
    seas seas
    Max, do you think the Kiwi can rally further?
    Max McKegg Max McKegg
    Full FX Forecasts of all Majors and Australasians with complete Chart Analysis will be sent out as usual tomorrow morning
    Jim Earls Jim Earls
    I would argue that the PE in the 40's during 2000 was an aberration due to a 1st stage bubble of three being focused into only...
  • 2d
    seas seas
    Ditto on that.
    Hisham Boulos Hisham Boulos
    Totally agree the media like mad dogs against Trump while I guess his doing a better job than Obama looking after his people and country ..
    Stephen Pope Stephen Pope
    A well written executive summary.
    Puts the gyrations firmly in context.
  • Squawk / Friday at 14:48 GMT
    intraday and holding research analysis in commodities and currencies..... / WWW.MCXMASTER.IN
    After us open.......

    buy copper cmp 2.680-660 range and keep sl???

    and tgt1 2.740
    and tgt2 in next few sessions
    Read the Squawk
  • 2d
    Martin O'Rourke Martin O'Rourke
    Consumer spending did indeed slide in the UK during January by 0.3% month-on-month after a 1.9% fall m/m in December. It supports the thesis that a post-Brexit...
  • Squawk / Friday at 3:58 GMT
    Technical Analyst in Financial Market / commoditymarket2008 Advisory Services
    Spot Gold Trading View: now having resistance zone 1244, above holding means 1250 & 1258 easily looking other wise again come down up to 1231 & 1223...
    Read the Squawk
    trendy trendy
    Why your views are more precise in currencies than gold? More volatility in gold?
  • 2d
    Market Predator Market Predator
    Hello APAC guys, thanks for your services. I just want to ask you if there will be MacroMonday broadcasting next week? Last session Mr. Andrew XY (or...
    HI MP. There will be a Macro Monday call tomorrow usual. Andrew will host in KvPs absence.