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  • 12 April
    Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs
    A small "footnote" to this. Look at the DAX chart today: That channel support line and gap did a job ALMOST TO THE TICK to give us...
  • Squawk / 30 March 2017 at 11:37 GMT
    Technical Analyst / FuturesTechs
    United Kingdom
    US 10 Year Notes are nudging back up to an important area of resistance at 124.285-125.035. If you look at our chart you can see why I'm saying this is important. It's the 38.2% Fibonacci retrace of the selling we saw from early November to mid December... And we've failed here a number of times since.

    Bunds have no such worries and have had a solid few days (well, the Bulls have!), reaching it's deeper Fibonacci target of 161.47 this morning. We have also moved back above the 200 day SMA. Above 161.47 look for 162.21 then 163.16. The 160.68-76 area is key for the bulls to defend on any pullbacks...
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    4d
    Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs
    Can be tough to "call" direction in the immedaite aftermath of these sort of "gappy" moves but it may be telling that yesterday's late high in the...
    4d
    Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs
    In contrast yesterday saw Bunds rally neatly from the lows to post a "Hammer" candle, although we haven't seen any follow through buying today....
    4d
    Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs
    So a few mixed messages... Grrrrr...
  • Article / 27 March 2017 at 12:57 GMT

    Volatility Update: Markets tense as volatility expands — #SaxoStrats

    Product Manager Futures and Options / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Volatility Update: Markets tense as volatility expands — #SaxoStrats
    US president Donald Trump's failure to push through a Republican healthcare bill last week has got investors nervous about his administration's prospects for enacting other legislation. Equities, particularly healthcare stocks, and the US dollar are feeling the pain of this defeat. Meanwhile, gold, the euro, rates and the VIX volatility index are gaining positive momentum.
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  • Squawk / 14 March 2017 at 12:01 GMT
    Technical Analyst / FuturesTechs
    United Kingdom
    US T-Notes are looking weak according to the chart, set to retest the low from mid December and beyond!

    The last couple of months have been some sort of “Flag” and the bottom of said Flag is at 123.13-15. We broke this last week and have since been back to here and failed "on the retest".

    So the bears are looking prime for a retest of 121.285 AT THE VERY LEAST. Below here 119.28, 116.19 and 115.24 are “bigger picture” targets.

    Bunds have been selling off too and look set to head to 158.06 then 157.06.

    In the UK the Gilt Future has been far more resilient but if that broke 125.13-20 we would be signalled for more downside.
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    16 March
    Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs
    Hi Simo, How the rest of today pans out is key. As of right now we've given back a good chunk of yesterday's gains, all after failing...
    16 March
    simo simo
    Many Thanks Clive Lambert For This Brilliant analysis
    16 March
    achu achu
    what do you think after yesterdays bullishness on UST?? retest 123.285 again?
  • Squawk / 23 February 2017 at 13:03 GMT
    Chief Economist & CIO / Saxo Bank
    Denmark
    Chance of May hike hitting > 60% - Remember Fed never hiked without chance being >70% !

    There is now some divergence, at least if dynamics driven by inflation expectations - this chart shows 5y5y (proxy for inflation) vs. chance of hike in May... nice correlation until recently - is it the "usual Fed talk" which they can't deliver or is it for real this time?
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  • 23 February
    FBT431 FBT431
    Thanks for report! Good approach to working with customers, mr. Georgio!
  • 09 February
    Georgio Stoev Georgio Stoev
    At vsquare007, if you bring the option chain, type 10 year treasury, symbol for the options should be OZN. There's Weeklys and standard. We are using standard....
    09 February
    Georgio Stoev Georgio Stoev
    ...futures options are not on the multi leg ticket yet so you need to enter the order leg per leg.
    09 February
    Georgio Stoev Georgio Stoev
    just to clarify for everyone, the position we traded last night
  • 09 November
    matsuri matsuri
    I suppose gold will retest 1250s area within days on the strengh of USD.
    09 November
    Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs
    It's looking a bit that way. 1291 has been the pivotal level over the day, first as support, now resistance. We didn't retake 1310 as I was...
    09 November
    Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs Clive Lambert - FuturesTechs
    GBPUSD, on the other hand, did do what I was hoping and held 1.2369-83 and has since rallied to 1.2484. Ideally we close above 1.2451-58 tonight, then...
  • Squawk / 26 July 2016 at 5:46 GMT
    Partner at 3 C ANALYSIS / 3cAnalysis
    United Kingdom
    Sep T-Notes - Testing key average
    Like the other Fixed Income markets trading in T-Notes Monday was subdued. Despite marginally lower levels prices closed for limited movement. This kept the market below the 13 day mvg avg but the bearishness of that is countered by positive signals for sentiment. This conflict means the immediate outlook cannot be entirely clear but with Asia attracting buying interest sentiment is assessed as mildly positive.
    There is upside scope to 132-115, 132-165 or even 132-23. Setbacks near 132-01 will attract buyers and only below 131-255 is assessed as negative
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