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Dan Larsen
Saxo Bank’s Head of FX Options Dan Juhl-Larsen shares his insights and experience trading FX options and looks at the opportunities on offer in the market in 2018.

Currency crosses

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  • 4h
    Treve Treve
    Max your analysis and trading calls on this have been spot on!!
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 15:08 GMT
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Bank of Canada: The Bank hiked rates as was widely expected, but interest rate expectations are off slightly as the language around the hike isn't hawkish relative to expectations and USDCAD is bid, though we'll need to see where the pair settles after some very choppy price action. The downside pivot zone is 1.2350-1.2400 and the upside zone is 1.2600-25.

    The BoC statement suggests caution on future rate hike moves, concern that US tax reform could impact Canadian investment growth, and increasing uncertainty on NAFTA. On the positive side, the language on the domestic economy was largely positive, with a raise of 2018 estimates on consumption and housing and they also noted the labor slack dropping quickly.

    On policy the BoC says there is a need for accommodation to keep inflation on target, but that economy likely warrants higher rates over time.
    Read the Squawk
    Market Predator Market Predator
    Dovish hike :) Seems to be similar like Mr. Carney from BoE last year. John, is there any time schedule regarding NAFTA agreement, please? I hold Long...
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 14:45 GMT
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    SEK: picking up a bid on comments from Riksbank's Deputy Governor Ohlsson, who says that inflation is on target, that Riksbank is nearing point to normalize monetary policy and that he can imagine a rate hike at the start of 2019. He also bemoans vulnerabilities in the Swedish banking system linked to housing, but suggests there won't be "drama" in housing. The 9.75-9.80 is the key pivot area in EURSEK.
    Read the Squawk
    John J Hardy John J Hardy
    Should be noted that Ohlsson was one of the voters against the extension of dovish guidance/QE and was also against the December Riksbank decisions, so we would...
    seas seas
    there now-9.88
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 8:32 GMT
    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Gold has paused ahead of a band of resistance between $1350 and $1357/oz. A renewed rise in dollar and bond yields the trigger with silver leading the weakness following a mini crash of 3% yesterday. Gold support at $1331 and $1326.5.
    Focus: US Congressional talks to avoid a government shutdown on Friday.

    Brent crude struggling to hold onto $70/b as the EIA forecast a February increase in US shale oil production of 111,000 b/d.
    Focus: OPEC’s monthly oil market report, China data and EIA's stock and production report all due Thursday. Surveys pointing to a ninth weekly stock draw. First key level of support on Brent at $66.8/b (chart)

    HG Copper has steadied after technical selling took it back to support at $3.18/lb. A stronger dollar, lower oil prices and long-liquidation combined with a big drop in Aluminum seen as drivers. Support at $3,18 and $3,14/lb
    Focus: Thursday's deluge of Chinese data including GDP, retail sales, industrial production and fixed asset investments.
    Read the Squawk
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