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Bogsor Bogsor
1400.40 % Return
Hrnielsen Hrnielsen
Manager / DK
738.47 % Return
step.inside step.inside
private trader
Russian Federation
448.94 % Return
Mercataurus Mercataurus
315.83 % Return
Acid Acid
273.53 % Return


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John J Hardy
How will US president Donald Trump’s plans to repeal healthcare legislation affect the markets in the coming week? Saxo Bank’s head of FX strategy John Hardy explains.

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  • Squawk / Yesterday at 20:45 GMT
    Managing Director / Technical Research Limited
    New Zealand
    “We’re going to be living with Obamacare for the foreseeable future” said Speaker Paul Ryan after President Trump’s repeal & replace bill failed to get the 216 votes needed. Markets were unperturbed, with only minor losses in stocks. Bonds and USD were steady.

    Trump will now turn his attention to other parts of his agenda such as calling out “Currency manipulators”.

    Last year the Swiss National Bank sold CHF67 billion for EUR, USD, JPY, GBP to hold down the franc. It’s been doing this for years and has to invest those FX reserves somewhere. It now owns $US100 billion in equities, the rest mainly in EUR and US bonds.

    The other main suspect is the Bank of Japan.

    Both central banks now have balance sheets equal to the size of their economies, far outpacing the ECB and Federal Reserve (see chart below)

    Read the Squawk
    Patto Patto
    10-15 votes short of 216 needed.......Major set back for Trump and his Republican party. There will be a "circular firing squad" among the leadership. But surprising how...
  • 20h
    AndrejLences AndrejLences
    I love your analysis.
    AndrejLences AndrejLences
    Would be EUR/USD bearish next week ? What do you think ? Thank you.
    Michael O'Neill Michael O'Neill
    I think it's reasonable with a stop above 1.0820 or 1.0880
  • Article / Yesterday at 14:13 GMT

    WCU: Commodities lower as funds scale out — #SaxoStrats

    Head of Commodity Strategy / Saxo Bank
    WCU: Commodities lower as funds scale out — #SaxoStrats
    The Bloomberg commodity index touched a four-month low this week as funds scale back bullish bets across sectors. Crude oil found support but a record number of long and short positions point towards continued volatility. Gold trading higher for a second week as the post-FOMC recovery continue
    Read the article
  • 22h
    matsuri matsuri
    trade completely against the common view that at the end of this year WTI will be closer to $60 per barrel. however OPEC will have to fight...
    Hi Stephen,

    A good article/research!

    If you add these facts as well to your research:

    - Hedge funds still have close to record long positions and if they start...
    Stephen Pope Stephen Pope
    Dear Matsuri and Airline,

    I am aware that the headlines of late February suggested that:
    "...hedge funds boosted their net long position in WTI last week to a new...
  • Squawk / Yesterday at 8:39 GMT
    Head of FX Strategy / Saxo Bank
    Euro rallies again on strong France and Germany flash March PMI's. The flash Markit Services PMI leapt all the way to 58.5 for the preliminary March reading, handily beating expectations and reaching the highest level in nearly six years, while the manufacturing PMI also beat with a 53.4 reading, just below multi-year from January. Germany's numbers were equally strong, with the Manufacturing PMI reading at 58.3, the highest since 2011, and the services PMI at a respectable 55.6. The Euro Zone wide flash PMI's are also up shortly and likely to show similar tendencies - offering the Euro broad support as we look for an eventual ECB taper and start to price in rate hikes for early next year.
    Read the Squawk
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