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Mads Koefoed
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User type:
Community member, Blogger, Moderator, Saxobank employee
Company:
Saxo Bank
Title:
Macro Strategist
Latest
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
03 February 2012
Nonfarm payrolls beat handsomely; Unemployment rate declines
The January nonfarm payrolls change surprised even the most optimistic forecaster printing 243,000 while the December number was revised up by 3,000 to 203,000. Great report and a solid start to 2012!
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149
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4
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2
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
03 February 2012
US Employment report preview (NFP, Unemployment Rate)
The monthly US Employment report is only hours away; we take a look at various job indicators ahead of the release.
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156
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3
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
03 February 2012
Week 6 government bond auctions
The Eurozone takes a bit of a breather next week in terms of government bond auctions with only France (February 6, 14:00 GMT) and Germany (February 8, 10:15) seeing some action. All in all a quiet week for auctions in the Eurozone.
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68
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3
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
03 February 2012
3 numbers to watch today: NFP, ISM Non-Manuf, factory orders
It is time for the mammoth US Employment report again, but ISM Non-manufacturing and factory orders are also on tap today.
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75
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1
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
02 February 2012
3 charts that mattered today: Bond yields, PPI, US jobless claims
Spain and France see falling borrowing costs, Eurozone producer prices decline and the US labour market continues to improve.
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130
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1
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
02 February 2012
Eurozone PMI Manufacturing points to stall in Q1 2012
Though several European PMIs surprised to the upside in January overall Eurozone PMI Manufacturing is still pointing to a stall.
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110
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0
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
02 February 2012
Three numbers to watch today: bond yields, PPI, jobless claims
While we await tomorrow's mammoth US Employment report, there are three things to look out for Thursday, namely the French and Spanish bond auctions, the Eurozone PPI and Initial Jobless Claims.
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155
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1
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
01 February 2012
3 numbers that mattered today: Portuguese yield, ADP and ISM
The Portuguese bond auctions and US numbers today where well received by markets with European stocks up 1.6 percent one hour before close and EURUSD up 100 pips.
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112
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1
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
01 February 2012
ISM Manufacturing misses; components better than headline
The January report on ISM Manufacturing missed expectations slightly coming in at 54.1 vs. 54.5 while December was revised down to 53.1 from 53.9.
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76
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2
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
01 February 2012
ADP Employment misses expectations printing 170,000
Another piece of good news about the US labour market has just been released by the private company, ADP - despite a miss on expectations.
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97
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2
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
01 February 2012
German, Sweden, UK see jumps in PMI; overall eurozone contracting
Four European countries' PMI soared during January, moving from contracting to expansion. The overall eurozone index remains below 50, however.
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127
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2
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
01 February 2012
Saxo Fundamental FX Portfolio - February 2012
The Saxo Bank Fundamental FX Portfolio had a strong start to 2012 with returns of 1.34, 1.35, and 1.36 percent in January in the three reference portfolios (EUR/USD/GBP), respectively. It is net short EUR going into February.
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147
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2
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
01 February 2012
3 numbers to watch today: Portuguese yield, ADP and ISM Manuf.
ISM Manufacturing, ADP Employment and Portugal's debt auction are all worth watching today - here's why.
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194
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3
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
31 January 2012
Home price declines accelerate in the US
The CaseShiller Home Price Index dropped 0.7 percent in November and added to the negative data from North America after Canada earlier reported a 0.1 percent decline in GDP in November 2011.
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97
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4
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
31 January 2012
Canadian GDP disappoints, first decline in half a year
The Canadian economy surprised consensus by declining 0.1 percent MoM in November against expectations of an increase of 0.2 percent. It was the first time since May 2011 that the economy recorded a monthly drop.
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80
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3
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
31 January 2012
US confidence, Chicago PMI to rise, CaseShiller to decline
With all of the major European economic reports already out, including a much better than expected German labour market report, we can turn our attention to this afternoon's data from North America.
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113
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2
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
30 January 2012
Meagre spending growth in the US in Dec; EU summit gets underway
December figures on US spending and income will be released Monday, revealing details on a part of economy not in the GDP report. Before that we get Italian bond auctions and Eurozone confidence numbers ahead of the 1400 GMT start of the EU summit.
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77
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2
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
27 January 2012
US 4Q'11 GDP report (snapshot)
The US economy accelerated to 2.8 percent (annualised) in the fourth quarter of 2011, just shy of the 3 percent expected. The miss was mostly due to lower than expected private consumption.
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136
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2
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
27 January 2012
US economy set to accelerate for third straight quarter
The US economy has so far proved resilient enough to withstand drags from fiscal tightening and the Eurozone debt crisis debacle. Today's 4Q'11 GDP report is expected to show 3 percent growth annualised, according to consensus.
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145
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2
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0
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Mads Koefoed
, Saxo Bank,
26 January 2012
Next week's government bond auctions
Next week's government bond auctions see Italy, which had solid auctions today, kick it off on Monday with several issues before France and Germany step into the ring.
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174
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Biography
Mads Koefoed is a Macro Strategist at Saxo Bank. Mads' primary focus is macroeconomics and equities, and he is responsible for the bank's Macro Forecast model. He has a master's degree in economics from the University of Copenhagen. Prior to joining Saxo Bank in 2009, Mads spent two years with Danske Capital, where he worked in the Danish Equities team. At Saxo Bank Mads primarily concentrates on macroeconomic topics and develops and maintains macroeconomic models based on econometrics. Mads regularly publishes comments and analysis on macroeconomic topics and is responsible for the bank's macroeconomic models and the Saxo Fundamental FX Portfolio.
Contact: +45 39 77 49 42
Disclaimer
Non-independent investment research
This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Further it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. Saxo Bank, its affiliates or staff, may perform services for, solicit business from, hold long or short positions in, or otherwise be interested in the investments (including derivatives), of any issuer mentioned herein.
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