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Didier Abbato
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User type:
Community member, Blogger, Saxobank employee
Company:
Saxo Bank
Title:
Vice President, Trading Advisory
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
02 January 2012
More headline risk ahead for equity markets
The bad news is that Santa did not deliver a quick fix solution to Europe’s financial troubles and as we enter the New Year, there is a feeling that events in Europe are now coming to a head.
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219
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
16 December 2011
Equity markets brace for a French downgrade
Judging by the raft of declarations from top leaders in France, it seems highly likely that Standard & Poors’ have already given their verdict to French officials. An announcement over the coming weekend would therefore not be far-fetched.
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252
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5
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
09 December 2011
Equities look to the IMF for hope
The odds for an intervention of the International Monetary Fund in the crisis are rapidly sharpening. This should be one of the most significant developments to watch out for next week.
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215
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0
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
02 December 2011
Equity markets want to believe...
The current moves in equity markets tend to point towards seasonal effects once again playing out in full for stock markets this year. Still, we may end the coming week with the feeling that another great opportunity has been missed for Europe...
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207
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0
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
18 November 2011
Equities are on the brink
The market is still looking for direction but once it finds it, it will probably move sharply. Price action has generally felt heavy all week and all rallies seem to have been fuelled by sharp short coverings and met by real money sellers.
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253
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0
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
28 October 2011
Euphoria in equity markets but what's next?
Whilst we see this week’s surge in equity markets as fair to some extent, further gains next week should be treated with caution at least from a short-term perspective.
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201
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1
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
21 October 2011
Time to place your bets on stock market direction
With most commentators predicting an impending disaster next week, one can wonder if the surprise is not to the upside as the pressures on European leaders to come up with a compromise become unbearable ahead of the G-20 meeting next month.
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154
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0
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
14 October 2011
Hard questions ahead for market, so be safe rather than bold
The market has now fully priced in the “offer” of a solution by the German-French duo. We now expect the hard questions to be asked as we get closer to 23 October and if sub-optimal solutions with unforeseen consequences are offered.
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227
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2
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
07 October 2011
Markets seeing the light - upside equity potential?
If the story we describe in this post develops as expected, we may be in for some strong upside surprises in equity markets at least over the next few weeks...
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202
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2
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
23 September 2011
S&P 500 at 1,000?
Unless we get a significant announcement from the Europeans over the coming weekend, we expect to see US and European equity markets much weaker next week and the area of 1,050-1,000 looks like a realistic target for the S&P 500.
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344
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1
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
16 September 2011
EcoFin means a crucial 48 hours for stock markets
In the past week, we came close to the brink in Europe and the unscheduled ECB announcement regarding USD funding helped buy some time. Yet, the next 48 hours will be decisive for European and global equity markets.
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158
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1
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
09 September 2011
Stocks remain exposed to major Eurozone shock
Expected Fed “QE3-like” action should provide relative support to US stock markets. But this is meager against the Eurozone situation. As long as there is no structural solution to the European problems, we are left exposed to a major shock.
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189
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2
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
02 September 2011
Get ready for an action-packed September in stock markets!
September, historically the worst performing month of the year for US stocks, promises to be another volatile one! This is clearly a trader’s market and relative plays may be a better idea in this context...
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429
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1
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
25 August 2011
Don’t bet on a Jackson Hole miracle for stocks
Avoiding a “Japanisation” of the U.S. seems to be the rationale behind further intervention by the Fed but we are still some way away from a collapse of current or expected inflation. Hence we contend that it is too early for any radical moves.
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273
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2
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
25 August 2011
Buffett's Bank of America deal supports US stocks
The announcement that Warren Buffett will invest USD 5 billion in Bank of America sent its shares up about 25 percent pre-market. This should support the S&P 500 for the session.
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153
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0
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
24 August 2011
European and US equities boosted by strong US durable goods
Strong US durable goods managed to break the deadlock and DAX finally broke the 5,600 decisively. This opens the way for the German index to auction between 5,540 and 5,800 for the remainder of the week.
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196
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0
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
24 August 2011
Directionless volatility continues; Watch out for German IFO
Directionless volatility should remain until Friday, hence we still favour playing ranges for the remainder of the week. The main data to watch today are the German IFO figures.
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234
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0
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
23 August 2011
European equities grinding after poor ZEW data
Disappointing ZEW surveys and rumours about the funding situation of Italian banks have put a damper on European stocks after a strong start to the day. This makes for a painfully slow grind higher.
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210
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1
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2
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
19 August 2011
Deep losses in equity markets - stay away from the falling knife!
As the monthly chart for the DAX index shows, the crossing of the MACD indicator has been a very strong signal for trend setting over the past 10 years! Hence we would refrain from calling the bottom of this new downtrend just yet…
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515
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1
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0
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Didier Abbato
, Saxo Bank,
12 August 2011
Beware of the technical rally
In Europe, the agenda will remain driven by unpredictable political announcements and some may happen no later than the coming weekend. More short bans and other policy responses could well be announced before the Monday Asian market open.
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252
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Biography
Didier Abbato is a Vice President with the Trading Advisory Team at Saxo Bank, advising the bank's High Net Worth clients. Didier has been on a trading desk for 13 years, starting with trading emerging market debt in London at Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation and London-based broker London Forfaiting Cpy. He started at Saxo Bank in early 2004, holding positions of trading advisor (mainly stocks and stock indices) and market-maker for stock CFDs. He holds a Masters in Finance from the University of Bordeaux, and is a CFA Charterholder from the CFA Institute.
Disclaimer
Non-independent investment research
This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Further it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. Saxo Bank, its affiliates or staff, may perform services for, solicit business from, hold long or short positions in, or otherwise be interested in the investments (including derivatives), of any issuer mentioned herein.
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