David Karsbol

David Karsbol

USER AND ACCOUNT INFORMATION
Interest:
11 elements in forex
26 elements in commodities
56 elements in equities
25 elements in macro
 View interests
User type:
Community member, Saxobank employee 
David Karsbol, 18 January 2011

Saxo Bank's Yearly Outlook 2011

Saxo Bank’s Yearly Outlook 2011, “Bubbles and bulls and bears.. Oh My!” out now, paints a somewhat sombre picture of the quality and depth of global economic recovery based on continued concerns about the debt burden of developed countries and the qu Read more
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David Karsbol, 18 January 2011

Saxo Bank's Yearly Outlook 2011

Saxo Bank’s Yearly Outlook 2011, “Bubbles and bulls and bears.. Oh My!” out now, paints a somewhat sombre picture of the quality and depth of global economic recovery based on continued concerns about the debt burden of developed countries and the qu Read more
25 Views
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0 Comments
David Karsbol, 05 October 2010

Cold front approaching Western economies

Quantitative easing on a scale never seen before, vast government stimulus programmes, and record public deficits almost everywhere you look. Any imaginable tool has been tried out in an attempt to put to rest the worst recession since World War II, Read more
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David Karsbol, 01 September 2010

Saxo Forex Model Portfolio; 3.38% return in July

The Saxo Bank Forex Portfolio Model Allocation gave a return of 3.38% for the month of August. The allocation for September is still tilted heavily towards a short position in EURCHF and to some degree in EURSEK. Read more
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David Karsbol, 03 August 2010

Saxo Bank Asset Allocation - Aug 2010

Saxo Bank's Asset Allocation Model still recommends an overall big position (35%) in equities and an even larger exposure (45%) to commodities. Read more
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David Karsbol, 03 August 2010

Saxo Bank Forex Model Portfolio - Aug 2010

The Saxo Bank FX Portfolio Model gave a single-leverage return of -1.62% for the month of July. The allocation has now shifted to favor long positions in CHF even more. Read more
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David Karsbol, 09 June 2010

Accelerating towards multiple train wrecks

No doubt we have some problems in the PIIGS countries and some of the EE countries like Romania and Hungary. Barring any meaningful and “hard choice” reforms in these countries, we should fear default in the not so distan Read more
230 Views
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David Karsbol, 02 June 2010

Forex portfolio reduces AUD, long CHF, JPY and short EUR

The single leverage return for May was 0.96% - primarily due to a huge drop in EURJPY. The model is again reducing long positions in AUD, which are now negligible. Read more
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David Karsbol, 02 June 2010

Saxo Bank Asset Allocation still 'Outright bullish' on global strengthening

Our Asset Allocation Model is maintaining an “Outright Bullish” stance and according to our Global Business Cycle Indicator, economic activity is still strengthening, but the second derivative seems to have turned around, so the improvement is peteri Read more
41 Views
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David Karsbol, 13 May 2010

Is the Chinese economy about to implode?

China's loose fiscal and monetary policy has resulted in a huge housing bubble. But the booming property market could soon be a thing of the past! In addition, the developing sovereign debt crisis in Europe could be another blow to the over Read more
38 Views
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David Karsbol, 11 May 2010

EU/ECB and EUR credibility on the decline

What a difference a weekend makes… or not. Naturally, the short end of the Greek yield curve collapsed over the weekend, but 30-year Greek sovereigns are still trading below 65! In the eyes of the bond market, Greece is just as troubled long-term as Read more
18 Views
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David Karsbol, 05 May 2010

Nightmare scenario for eurozone moving closer

With the PIIGS crisis still brewing and fomenting, a swift German approval and ratification of the Greek bail-out is needed in order to calm down markets again. Even ECB hawks like Axel Weber is calling a German participation in the bail-out of Gr Read more
84 Views
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David Karsbol, 04 May 2010

Asset Allocation Model maintains 'Outright Bullish'

Saxo Bank’s Asset Allocation Model returned 2.12% for the month of April and maintains an “Outright Bullish Scenario”. Read more
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David Karsbol, 03 May 2010

May Forex Portfolio Model makes significant changes

The Forex Portfolio Model increases exposure til CHF and JPY dramatically and keeps smaller but still long positions in AUD and NZD. Read more
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David Karsbol, 29 April 2010

European stocks hit hard, but US and emerging markets holding up

Volatility continues, but VIX dropped to 21.08 yesterday. High yield bonds have not recovered the sell-off, but US stocks came back somewhat. DAX and CAC hard hit, both down more than 4%, though. So far this crisis is regional in its nature and EM an Read more
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David Karsbol, 06 April 2010

Asset Allocation still 'Outright Bullish'

The Saxo Bank Asset Allocation model is still “Outright Bullish” – which translates into the following allocation: Long 30% MSCI World Long 5% MSCI Emerging Markets Long 45% CRB Index Long Read more
35 Views
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David Karsbol, 06 April 2010

April Forex allocation dislikes EUR, GBP and USD

The Forex Portfolio model for April is out with a dislike for EUR, GBP and USD and allocates capital to AUD, NZD and JPY. Biggest signal is short EURAUD, followed closely by a long EURGBP and short EURJPY. Read more
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David Karsbol, 01 March 2010

Net long position in equities in Asset Allocation Model

The Saxo Bank Asset Allocation Model is maintaining an "Outright Bullish" stance after having changed from "Bullish" six months ago. The reason is a sharp turnaround in business activity (according to our Global Business Cycle Indicator) and t Read more
18 Views
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David Karsbol, 01 March 2010

Forex Portfolio model returns 2.1% in February

The Saxo Bank Forex Portfolio Model had a 2.1% return for the month of February. You can now download the March model. Read more
21 Views
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David Karsbol, 02 February 2010

Asset allocation 'Outright bullish' on business turnaround

Our Asset Allocation Model is maintaining an “Outright Bullish” stance after having changed from “Outright Bearish” five months ago. The reason is a sharp turnaround business activity (according to our Global Business Cycle Indicator) and that means Read more
27 Views
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    Disclaimer
    Non-independent investment research
    This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Further it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. Saxo Bank, its affiliates or staff, may perform services for, solicit business from, hold long or short positions in, or otherwise be interested in the investments (including derivatives), of any issuer mentioned herein. » Read more
     
     
     

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