Outrageous Predictions 2013 This year’s Outrageous Predictions are once again a selection of mainly negative events, any of which can change the financial landscape and in some cases even the political status quo. It is always tempting when making predictions to call for radical changes to the market landscape, but having produced this publication now for over 10 years, we hope the real value on offer to readers is to identify major events and risks that seem out of the box and “outrageous”, but are actually far more probable than appreciated and could have significant [...] Read More. - DAX plunges 33 percent to 5000 - Nationalisation of major Japanese electronics companies Peter Garnry Head of Equity Strategy Profile - Soybeans to rise by 50 percent - Gold corrects to USD 1,200 per ounce - WTI crude hits USD 50 Ole S. Hansen Head of Commodity Strategy Profile - USDJPY heads to 60.00 - Hong Kong unpegs HKD from USD re-pegs to RMB - EURCHF breaks peg, touches 0.9500 John J. Hardy Head of FX Strategy Profile - Spain takes one step closer to default as interest rates rise to 10% - 30-year US yield doubles in 2013 Steen Jakobsen Chief Economist Profile Following Follow this topic Unfollow Follow this topic Saxo Outrageous Predictions ...more info Saxo Bank’s yearly Outrageous Predictions report has always been one of its more popular publications, and understandably so, as it frees us and our readers from the constraints of the high probability events in the middle of the supposed bell curve of possibilities. The “fat tail” concept is inspired by option theory and looks at the tail-risk – an event which is based on odds or logic and has a very small chance of happening, but somehow still happens far more often than any model is able to predict. Sign up to comment Characters left: Attach images or documents You can only attach a maximum of 10 images Browse... Tag your Squawks to reach a wider audience. Close Say it now! Show next 3 calender events Be the first to write a squawk about Saxo Outrageous Predictions by typing into the box above.