Trading Ideas

Trade Idea: Shorting EURGBP ahead of key resistance

John J HardyJohn J Hardy , Head of FX Strategy, Saxo Bank
Filed in Trade ideas - FX
Slovenia, 15 November 2012 at 10:29 GMT+0
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A few highlights from this trade idea (see PDF attached to this post for full details):

  • The Euro got a boost on the recent hopes that Greece would be given a break on its debt and possibly as well on a simple positioning squeeze, particularly in the likes of crowded Euro/commodity currency shorts
  • Meanwhile, sterling has been punished as the BoE's King wouldn't rule out further asset purchases and complained a bit about sterling's strength and as the latest quarterly BoE Inflation Report showed reather dour growth and inflation forecasts for the coming year.
  • EURGBP has risen rather sharply on these developments, but the upside could fade ahead of the 200-day moving average as the EU issues are intractable and as the GBP still looks like a safer harbour for capital than Europe.

Disclaimer:
Non-independent investment research
This investment research has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Further it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. Saxo Bank, its affiliates or staff, may perform services for, solicit business from, hold long or short positions in, or otherwise be interested in the investments (including derivatives), of any issuer mentioned herein. 
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Documents

05_EURGBP.pdf

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Please read our full disclaimers:

Disclaimer

Saxo Bank provides an execution-only service. The material on this website does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) investment advice or an investment recommendation, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Saxo Bank accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result.

Please read our full disclaimers:
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