Sell stocks on rallies today Christian Blaabjerg, Filed in: Equity Update 24 November 2009 at 8:23 GMT Non-Independent Investment Research Daily Trading Stance We have a LOT of data releases today. Check the economic calendar for details. After a heavy sell-off in the Shanghai Composite and AUD and NZD, we recommend to sell stocks on rallies today. Corroborating evidence: Treasuries are making new highs and 10-year BE inflation rates are down. Beware of E-Z New Industrial Orders in the European session as that could set the tone heading into the US session. Calendar Economic Data Releases Country Time (GMT) Name Expectation Prior Comment US 13:30 GDP QoQ (3Q) 2.8% 3.5% Saxo Bank: 3.0% US 13:30 Personal Consumption QoQ (3Q) 3.2% 3.4% Saxo Bank: 3.3% US 15:00 Consumer Confidence (NOV) 47.5 47.7 FX FX Daily stance Comment EURUSD 0/+ Look to buy dips to 1.4915-20 suppt for eventual push on 1.50 then 1.5060. Stop below 1.4870. USDJPY 0/+ Expect suppt at 88.70 lvl to hold for a rebound back to 89.20, poss 89.65. Below risks 88.30 first. EURJPY 0/+ Prefer to buy dips down to 132.40-50 for another rebound back to 133.50. GBPUSD 0 Expect to trade in a 1.6540 – 1.6620 range. Watch for BOE King’s testimony for breakout. AUDUSD 0/+ Buy dips down to 0.9165-70 suppt for a rebound to 0.9275, stop below 0.9115. FX Options FX-Options Comment EURUSD Given the large drop in spot from yesterday’s highs, we might find some short term support for front end downside but in general gamma should slip going into Thanksgiving. USDJPY Vols have been weak all morning with the usual curve steepening trades. 3m and out well supported but 1m and below sees only sellers. AUDUSD Front end vols continue to get sold this morning while mid curve risk reversals are bid with spot trading down to fresh lows. Expect spot to continue towards 9100. Equities Equities Daily stance Comment DAX 0/- Sell on rallies towards 5800 targeting 5755. S/L above 5814. FTSE 0/- Sell on rallies towards 5355 targeting 5318. S/L above 5365. S&P500 0/- Sell on rallies towards 1107 targeting 1100. S/L above 1110. NASDAQ100 0/- DJIA 0/- Futures Commodities Daily Stance Comment Gold 0/+ Buy on dips towards 1150 (the gap) and target 1161. Stop below 1147. Silver 0/+ Buy on dips towards 18.15 and target 18.40. Stop below 18.00. Oil (CLZ9) 0/- Sell at the break of 76.50 and target 75.00. Stop above 77.50. Tweet Like LinkedIn Share Google+ Previous Next Comments Please sign in to comment or ask the author a question about this article. Recommended Recommend Unrecommend Recommend Tweet Like LinkedIn Share Google+ Related articles Watch out for US housing data today Bank of England minutes the main event today US Dollar Index continues higher Fed to keep interest rates low during all of 2010 Risk could be back today on better than expected Durable Goods Topics This post appears under the following topics... GBPUSD EURJPY forex AUDUSD macro FX Options commodities FTSE100 equities Gross Domestic Product Consumer Confidence Reports USDJPY gold silver DAX EURUSD DJI