SAXO BANK'S OUTRAGEOUS PREDICTIONS 2013

Outrageous Prediction: Wheat prices to double in 2012

Ole HansenOle Hansen , Head of Commodity Strategy, Saxo Bank
Denmark, 16 December 2011 at 09:57 GMT+0
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The price of CBOT wheat will double during 2012 after having been the worst performing crop in 2011. The drop was brought about due to a combination of farmers responding to high prices in 2010/11 and normalised weather in the Former Soviet Union. However with 7 billion people on the earth and money printing machines at full throttle bad weather across the world will unfortunately return and make it a tricky year for agricultural products. Wheat especially will rally strongly as speculative investors, who had built up one of the biggest short positions on record, will help drive the price back towards the record high last seen in 2008.

About Outrageous Predictions
In its Outrageous Predictions, Saxo Bank focuses on events that are unlikely to happen, but at the same time are far more likely than the market appreciates. The predictions are not meant as forecasts, but it is important for investors to consider events with under-recognised probabilities. Should any of them come to pass, they would have a significant impact on the markets.

  • Read all of Saxo Bank's Outrageous Predictions for 2012 here.
  • Downlaod a PDF document containing the Outrageous Predictions here.
  • View a compilation of short videos about them here.

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Saxo Bank's Outrageous Predictions are 10 unlikely, but far more likely than appreciated events that could transpire in the coming year and would have significant consequences. They are not an attempt to predict the future or to be outrageous for the sake of it, but an attempt to spark debate and think outside the box.
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Saxo Bank provides an execution-only service. The material on this website does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) investment advice or an investment recommendation, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Saxo Bank accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result.

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Disclaimer

Saxo Bank provides an execution-only service. The material on this website does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) investment advice or an investment recommendation, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Saxo Bank accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result.

Please read our full disclaimers:
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