SAXO BANK'S OUTRAGEOUS PREDICTIONS 2013

Outrageous Prediction: USDJPY heads to 60.00

John J HardyJohn J Hardy , Head of FX Strategy, Saxo Bank
Slovenia, 18 December 2012 at 09:47 GMT+0
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The Liberal Democratic Party comes back into power with its supposedly JPY-punishing agenda. But the reality of office, an uncooperative parliament and resistance from the Bank of Japan, mean that only half-measures are introduced. Meanwhile, the market has become over-enamoured with the potential for LDP leadership to bring about change and over-positioned for JPY weakness. As the market loses its enthusiasm for global quantitative easing and risk appetite retrenches, the yen vaults to the fore again for a time as the world’s strongest currency due to deflation and repatriation of investments, and carry trades find themselves turned on their head. USDJPY heads as low as 60.00 and other JPY crosses head even more violently lower, ironically
paving the way for the LDP government and the BoJ to reach for those more radical measures aimed at weakening the yen.

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Saxo Bank's Outrageous Predictions are 10 unlikely, but far more likely than appreciated events that could transpire in the coming year and would have significant consequences. They are not an attempt to predict the future or to be outrageous for the sake of it, but an attempt to spark debate and think outside the box.
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Saxo Bank provides an execution-only service. The material on this website does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) investment advice or an investment recommendation, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Saxo Bank accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result.

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Disclaimer

Saxo Bank provides an execution-only service. The material on this website does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) investment advice or an investment recommendation, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Saxo Bank accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result.

Please read our full disclaimers:
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