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Market Preview - 31 August 2011

31 August 2011 at 6:14 GMT
Forex Overnight: EUR under pressure
Market speculation that the European Central Bank may cut borrowing costs has led the EUR to trade lower against the major currencies, this morning. Additionally, there are expectations that data scheduled to be released later today would show that unemployment in the Eurozone remained unchanged last month, at its highest level since February 2011. At 6 am, the EUR has lost 0.1 percent against the USD at $1.4428, and has declined 0.2 percent against the GBP to £0.8844.
The JPY is trading 0.2 percent and 0.3 percent higher against the USD and the EUR, respectively.
The AUD and CAD have advanced marginally against the USD, this morning.

UK Stocks: Expected to open lower
The FTSE 100 is expected to trade 5 points in the red, at the open.
No economic releases are scheduled for today.
Bwin.party Digital Entertainment, Cape, Aer Lingus Group, Oxford BioMedica and Asterand are scheduled to report their results later today.
GlaxoSmithKline has indicated that it has bought back 1.0 million of its Ordinary shares of 25.0 p each, adding that the shares would be cancelled.
Irish Life & Permanent's banking unit, Permanent TSB, has entered into an agreement to acquire Northern Rock’s Dublin-based branch, Northern Rock Ireland.

Asia: Trading mostly higher
Asian markets are trading mostly higher this morning, mirroring overnight gains on Wall Street.
In Japan, markets have recouped their initial losses and are trading in the green. At 6 am, the Nikkei has edged 0.1 percent higher to 8,959.5. Nintendo has risen sharply, after a broker upgraded its rating to “Out-Perform” from “Neutral”. On the other hand, Fanuc and Mazda Motor Corp are trading lower, following a lower than expected rise in Japan’s industrial production in July. Taiheiyo Cement Corp has slumped, after it announced plans to raise ¥37.5 billion through a public share sale.
South Korean markets have continued their uptrend. Hyundai Motor has gained, supported by foreign buying. Meanwhile, the automaker has denied reports about a potential acquisition of Green Cross Life Insurance. In Hong Kong, Evergrande Real Estate Group is trading in positive territory, after posting robust increase in its first half year profit. In China, markets have slid, amid concerns about a slowdown in corporate earnings growth. A sharp drop in first half year profit has led Baoshan Iron & Steel lower.

US Stocks: Futures trading higher
S&P 500 Index Futures are trading 2.0 points higher.
Key economic indicators scheduled for release today include ADP Employment Change, Factory Orders, MBA Mortgage Applications, Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index, and Challenger Job Cuts.
Brown Forman, Joy Global, SAIC and Oxford Industries are scheduled to announce their results today.
In after hours trade yesterday, Lions Gate Entertainment declined 4.7 percent, after Carl Icahn and his son, Brett Icahn, agreed to sell their entire stake in the company, and both parties agreed to dismiss all outstanding litigation between them. CardioNet plummeted 17.8 percent, after it received a civil investigative demand from the U.S. Justice Department concerning allegations that it might have used inappropriate diagnosis codes when submitting Medicare claims. Lower-than-expected second quarter revenue and earnings led DryShips 11.7 percent lower. PVH Corporation gained 2.7 percent, after it swung to a second quarter profit and boosted its full year revenue and earnings outlook. Better-than-expected second quarter profit and upbeat earnings forecast for the full year helped Vera Bradley to surge 7.1 percent.
Yesterday, the S&P 500 index added 0.2 percent, after minutes from the last U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting bolstered expectations of additional measures to stimulate the economy. Monster Worldwide rallied 21.5 percent, after a regulatory filing indicated that its three top executives had bought 87,237 shares. PulteGroup and Boeing climbed 7.1 percent and 2.2 percent, respectively, following broker upgrades. Clorox advanced 2.8 percent, after Carl Icahn indicated that he would make a third buyout offer for the company. Starbucks edged 1.2 percent higher, after it stated that it would begin offering its coffee in single-cup brewing K-Cups for Keurig coffee makers in November. Bank of America retreated 3.2 percent, following objections by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation to its proposed $8.5 billion mortgage-bond settlement with investors.

European Stocks: Likely to open in the green
The DAX and CAC are expected to open 12 to 14 points higher.
Key economic indicators scheduled for release today include German Retail Sales and Unemployment Rate and Eurozone’s Consumer Price Index Estimate & Unemployment Rate.
Hermes International SCA, Vivendi SA, Carrefour SA, Aeroports De Paris SA, Lagardere SCA, Eiffage SA and Eurazeo SA are scheduled to report their results later today.
The Financial Times Deutschland has reported that majority of members on Metro AG’s supervisory Board have opposed extending the contract of the CEO, Eckhard Cordes, after October 2012, when it expires.
According to The Financial Times Deutschland, Osram, the lighting unit of Siemens AG, is set to hike prices for energy-saving light bulbs and fluorescent tubes by an average of 20 percent to 25 percent, beginning 1 September 2011.
Schneider Electric has stated that it has successfully completed its cash tender offer to purchase all of the issued shares of Telvent. About 97 percent shares were successfully tendered in the offer.
Ericsson has expanded its managed services capabilities in China by opening a new global network operations center.
Intralot SA has reported a 95 percent drop in second quarter profit. Sales have fallen 8.8 percent to €285.5 million, while EBITDA has declined 8.6 percent to €33.6 million.

Macro Update
UK consumer confidence drops
Consumer confidence in the U.K. has declined to a four-month low of -31.0 in August, compared to a reading of -30.0 in July.
Japan’s industrial output disappoints
Industrial output in Japan has climbed 0.6 percent M-o-M in July, lower than market expectations, following a 3.8 percent rise in June.
Japan’s manufacturing PMI declines
Japan’s Nomura/JMMA manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) has dropped to 51.9 in August, compared to 52.1 in July.
FOMC split on best policy tools
The minutes of the U.S. Fed meeting on 9 August 2011 have revealed that there was no clear consensus among officials about further policy tools to address growth.
Industrial production in South Korea rises
Industrial output in South Korea rose 3.8 percent Y-o-Y in July, following the 6.4 percent increase in the previous month.
Euro bonds look more likely, says Marek Belka
Marek Belka, Governor of the National Bank of Poland, has stated that “the longer it takes to resolve the situation in Greece”, the more likely would be the need for euro bonds to take care of the crisis.

Economic Calendar

Country

BST

Economic Indicator

Relevance

Consensus/*Actual

Previous

Frequency

UK

0:01

GfK Consumer Confidence Survey (Aug)

PP

 -31.00*

-30.00

Monthly

Japan

0:15

Nomura/JMMA Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index (Aug)

PP

51.90*

52.10

Monthly

Japan

0:50

Loans & Discounts Corp (YoY) (Jul)

P

 -1.60%*

-1.80%

Monthly

Japan

0:50

Industrial Production (YoY) (Jul)

PP

 -2.80%*

-1.70%

Monthly

Japan

2:30

Labour Cash Earnings (YoY) (Jul)

PP

-0.10%*

-0.70%

Monthly

Japan

5:00

Vehicle Production (YoY) (Jul)

P

-8.90%*

-13.90%

Monthly

Japan

6:00

Annualised Housing Starts (Jul)

PP

0.96 mn*

0.82 mn

Monthly

Japan

6:00

Housing Starts (YoY) (Jul)

PP

21.20%*

5.80%

Monthly

Japan

6:00

Construction Orders (YoY) (Jul)

P

5.70%*

6.00%

Monthly

Germany

7:00

Retail Sales (MoM) (Jul)

PP

-1.50%

6.30%

Monthly

Germany

8:55

Unemployment Rate s.a. (Aug)

PPP

7.00%

7.00%

Monthly

Eurozone

10:00

Consumer Price Index Estimate (YoY) (Aug)

PP

2.50%

2.50%

Monthly

Eurozone

10:00

Unemployment Rate (Jul)

PP

9.90%

9.90%

Monthly

US

12:00

MBA Mortgage Applications (W/E)

P

-

-2.40%

Weekly

US

12:30

Challenger Job Cuts (YoY) (Aug)

P

-

59.40%

Monthly

US

13:15

ADP Employment Change (Aug)

PP

103.00 K

114.00 K

Monthly

Canada

13:30

Gross Domestic Product Annualised (QoQ) (Q2)

P

0.00%

3.90%

Quarterly

Canada

14:00

Teranet/National Bank HPI (MoM) (Jun)

PPP

-

1.30%

Monthly

US

14:45

Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index (Aug)

P

53.50

58.80

Monthly

US

15:00

Factory Orders (MoM) (Jul)

PP

1.80%

-0.80%

Monthly

US

15:30

EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Barrels) (W/E)

P

 

 -2.20 mn

Weekly

US

17:30

Fed's Lockhart Speaks on Economy in Lafayette, Louisiana

P

-

-

-

Note: PPPHigh           PPMedium           PLow


Corporate Calendar

Country

Company Name

Index

Announcement

UK

888 Holdings Plc

FTSE All Share

Interim

UK

Bwin.party Digital Entertainment Plc

FTSE All Share

Interim

UK

Chesnara Plc

FTSE All Share

Interim

UK

Goldenport Holdings Inc

FTSE All Share

Interim

UK

IP Group Plc

FTSE All Share

Interim

UK

Oxford BioMedica Plc

FTSE All Share

Interim

UK

Picton Property Income Limited

FTSE All Share

Interim

UK

Safestore Holdings Plc

FTSE All Share

Trading

France

Carrefour SA

CAC 40, Euro Stoxx 50

Q2 Earnings Release

France

Vivendi SA

CAC 40, Euro Stoxx 50

Interim

US

Joy Global Inc

S&P 500

Q3 Earnings Release

US

SAIC Inc

S&P 500

Q2 Earnings Release


Ex-Dividend Calendar

Country

Company Name

Index

Announcement

UK

Capita Group Plc

FTSE 100

Interim Ex-Dividend

UK

John Wood Group Plc

FTSE 100

Interim Ex-Dividend

UK

Serco Group Plc

FTSE 100

Interim Ex-Dividend

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