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Market Preview - 10 August 2011

10 August 2011 at 6:04 GMT
Forex Overnight: USD trading higher
The USD has strengthened against most of its major counterparts this morning, as signals from the Federal Reserve failed to alleviate investor concerns about global economic growth. At 6am, the EUR has dropped 0.2% against the USD to $1.4345, while the GBP has lost 0.3% against the USD to $1.6275.
The JPY has advanced marginally against the USD, while it has gained 0.2% against the EUR. Today, the Japanese Finance Minister, Yoshihiko Noda, indicated that one-sided moves in the JPY can hurt growth in Japan.
The AUD has weakened 0.4% against the USD, after the Australian consumer sentiment index dropped to the lowest level since May 2009.

UK Stocks: Expected to open in the green
FTSE 100 is expected to firm 42 points, at open.
Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report and Nationwide Consumer Confidence are the key economic releases scheduled for today.
Standard Life, Dragon Oil, TUI Travel, Smurfit Kappa Group and Interserve are scheduled to report their results later today.
According to Reuters, HSBC Holdings is nearing a deal to sell its U.S. credit card business, worth more than $30.0 billion, to Capital One Financial Corp.
According to the Economic Times, Vodafone is moving Colman Deegan, the group head for mergers and acquisitions, to Mumbai, as the CFO, to plan and complete the listing of its operations in India.
GlaxoSmithKline and XenoPort, Inc. have announced that a supplemental New Drug Application has been submitted to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, seeking approval of Horizant Extended-Release tablets for the management of postherpetic neuralgia in adults.
Jac Nasser, the Chairman of BHP Billiton, has indicated that the company is confident about the long term outlook for the U.S. and Australia.

Asia: Trading higher
Asian markets have snapped their losing streak this morning, following the overnight rally on Wall Street.
At 6 am, the Nikkei is trading 1.2% higher at 9,052.5. Tokyo Electric Power has risen sharply, after its company President, Toshio Nishizawa, indicated that government support would protect the company from insolvency. Among banking sector stocks, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group have paced gains. Inpex Corporation is trading higher, in line with the gain in crude oil prices.
South Korean markets have advanced, with LG Electronics and Samsung Electronics leading gains among electronic sector stocks. In Hong Kong, banking sector stocks have rebounded from their previous session losses, with HSBC Holdings and Bank of China moving higher. In the Chinese markets, Zijin Mining Group Company is trading positive, after its first half year profit exceeded consensus estimates.

US Stocks: Futures trading lower
At 6 am, the S&P 500 futures have weakened by 3.3 points.
Key economic indicators scheduled for release include MBA Mortgage Applications, Wholesale Inventories and Monthly Budget Statement.
Cisco Systems, News Corporation, Polo Ralph Lauren, Macy’s and Computer Sciences Corporation are scheduled to announce their results today.
In after hours trading yesterday, The Walt Disney lost 1.2%, despite posting better-than-expected quarterly earnings, following weakness in its studio segment revenues. Amtech Systems slumped 15.5%, after orders fell sharply in the third quarter, despite robust third quarter results that beat analyst expectations. A sharp drop in second quarter earnings led MBIA 5.9% lower. China New Borun lost 2.8%, following weaker-than-expected revenue projection for the third quarter. Cree climbed 9.6%, as its fourth quarter results beat consensus estimates. Better-than-expected margins in its third quarter led Vitesse Semiconductor 19.5% higher. Other key gainers included SMART Technologies, Endeavour International and Solazyme, which surged 14.6%, 12.1% and 11.9%, respectively.
The S&P 500 index closed 4.7% higher, yesterday, rebounding sharply from previous day’s losses, after the Federal Reserve pledged to retain its accommodative monetary policy at least until 2013. Bank of America, Hartford Financial Services and Citigroup surged 16.7%, 15.5% and 12.3%, respectively, reflecting increased risk appetite amongst investors. Alpha Natural Resources, Alcoa and Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold advanced 12.9%, 8.0% and 7.5%, respectively, tracking higher commodity prices. Pfizer climbed 5.6%, after it was included in a broker’s “Conviction Buy” list. Ford Motor rallied 9.9%, after a broker added the company to its “U.S. 1” list. Cablevision Systems plunged 12.8%, after its second quarter earnings came in below market expectations.

European Stocks: Likely to open in positive territory
DAX and CAC are likely to open stronger by 33 and 13 points, respectively.
German CPI and French Current Account, Industrial Production & Manufacturing Production are scheduled for release today.
Nestle SA, GDF Suez SA, E.ON AG and Commerzbank AG are scheduled to report their results later today.
Consumer Watchdog, the public interest group, has told regulators that AT&T’s proposed $39.0 billion purchase of Deutsche Telekom AG’s subsidiary, T-Mobile USA, should be rejected, as it would lead to higher prices for consumers.
Commerzbank AG has announced that its Chief Financial Officer, Eric Strutz, plans to step down when his contract expires in March 2012.
Telenet Group Holding NV has announced the initiation of its stock buyback program, and would provide weekly updates of shares bought back to cover stock option awards to management.
Saab AB’s North American President, Tim Colbeck, has stated that its parent, Swedish Automobile NV is in "real and substantive" talks with potential investors.

Macro Update
Fed to keep rates at record low at least through mid-2013
The U.S. Federal Reserve has announced that it would keep its benchmark interest rates near zero at least through mid-2013.
China’s July exports rise 20.4%
China’s July exports have risen 20.4% Y-o-Y, with the trade surplus at $31.5 billion.
UK GDP grew 0.6% in three months through July
The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) has estimated that U.K.’s GDP rose 0.6% in the three months ended July, compared to a 0.2% growth recorded in the three months ended June.
Tertiary Industry Activity Index in Japan rises in June
The Tertiary Industry Activity Index in Japan has climbed 1.9% in June, on a seasonally adjusted basis, exceeding consensus expectations for a 1.0% rise.
South Korea unemployment rate remains unchanged in July
The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in South Korea remained unchanged at 3.3% in July.
Australian Consumer Confidence drops in August
The Consumer Sentiment Index in Australia has declined 3.5% M-o-M in August, to 89.6, registering the lowest level since May 2009.


Economic Calendar

Country

BST

Economic Indicator

Relevance

Consensus/*Actual

Previous

Frequency

Germany

7:00

Consumer Price Index - Harmonised (YoY) (Jul)

PPP

2.40%

2.40%

Monthly

Germany

7:00

Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Jul)

PPP

2.40%

2.40%

Monthly

France

7:45

Current Account  (Jun)

P

-

-€5.50 bn

Monthly

France

7:45

Industrial Production (MoM) (Jun)

P

-

2.00%

Monthly

France

7:45

Industrial Production (YoY) (Jun)

P

-

2.60%

Monthly

France

7:45

Manufacturing Production (MoM) (Jun)

P

-0.10%

1.50%

Monthly

France

7:45

Manufacturing Production (YoY) (Jun)

P

6.80%

5.40%

Monthly

UK

10:30

BoE's Quarterly Inflation Report

PPP

-

-

-

UK

10:30

BoE's Governor King Speech

PPP

-

-

-

US

12:00

MBA Mortgage Applications (W/E)

P

-

7.10%

Weekly

US

15:00

Wholesale Inventories (Jun)

P

1.00%

1.80%

Monthly

US

15:30

EIA Crude Oil Stocks change (W/E) (Barrels)

P

-

1.00 mn

Weekly

US

19:00

Monthly Budget Statement (Jul)

PP

 -$140.00 bn

 -$43.10 bn

Monthly

Japan

0:50

Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) (Jun)

PP

1.90%*

0.80%

Monthly

Japan

0:50

Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index (MoM) (Jul)

P

0.20%*

0.10%

Monthly

Japan

0:50

Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index (YoY) (Jul)

P

2.90%*

2.60%

Monthly

Japan

0:50

Housing Loans (YoY) (Q2)

P

2.40%*

2.70%

Quarterly

UK

-

Nationwide Consumer Confidence (Jul)

PP

-

51.00

Monthly

Note: PPPHigh           PPMedium           PLow


Corporate Calendar

Country

Company Name

Index

Announcement

UK

Interserve Plc

FTSE All Share

Interim

UK

Quintain Estates & Development Plc

FTSE All Share

Trading

UK

Standard Life Plc

FTSE All Share

Interim

UK

TUI Travel Plc

FTSE All Share

Trading

Germany

Commerzbank AG

DAX 30

Q2 Earnings Release

Germany

E.ON AG

DAX 30

Q2 Earnings Release

Germany

Fresenius SE & Co KGaA

DAX 30

Q2 Earnings Release

Germany

Henkel AG & Co KGaA

DAX 30

Q2 Earnings Release

France

GDF Suez SA

CAC 40, EuroStoxx 50

Interim

US

Cisco Systems Inc

S&P 500

Q4 Earnings Release

US

Computer Sciences Corporation

S&P 500

Q1 Earnings Release

US

Harman International Industries Inc

S&P 500

Q4 Earnings Release

US

Macy's Inc

S&P 500

Q2 Earnings Release

US

News Corporation

S&P 500

Q4 Earnings Release

US

Polo Ralph Lauren Corporation

S&P 500

Q1 Earnings Release


Ex-Dividend Calendar

Country

Company Name

Index

Announcement

UK

BT Group Plc

FTSE 100

Final Ex-Dividend

UK

GKN Plc

FTSE 100

Interim Ex-Dividend

UK

Rio Tinto Plc

FTSE 100

Interim Ex-Dividend

UK

RSA Insurance Group Plc

FTSE 100

Interim Ex-Dividend

UK

Schroders Plc

FTSE 100

Interim Ex-Dividend

UK

Standard Chartered Plc

FTSE 100

Interim Ex-Dividend

UK

Barclays Plc

FTSE 100

Quarterly Ex-Dividend

UK

Unilever Plc

FTSE 100

Quarterly Ex-Dividend

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