FX TrendSnagger

FX Trend Snagger Model: going long EURJPY, GBPJPY

John J HardyJohn J Hardy , Head of FX Strategy, Saxo Bank
Slovenia, 21 November 2012 at 11:28 GMT+0
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This is a special update to the FX Trend Snagger Model due to the very special conditions in JPY crosses at the moment:

We went long 45k EURJPY (1 unit, rather than normal 2 units, based on 100k EUR account size) at 105.402 and placed a stop at 104.29 offered

We went long 34k GBPJPY (1 unit, rather than normal 2 units, based on 100k EUR account size) at 131.014 and placed a stop at 129.44 offered

Explanation for deviating slightly from model's parameters here:

  • The original signals both came on a sharp move within a very choppy range after a signal in the opposite direction proved unprofitable. Markets have been choppy of late and it looked like caution was warranted in seeking a better entry level. But there was no pull-back, so we are going long on the break higher that is holding into its second day.
  • We are only trading 1 unit of each position because, with the model already short EURUSD and GBPUSD, adding both long EURJPY and GBJPY in full size would simply make the model's overal positioning amount to one overall very large synthetic USDJPY long. As well, considering the magnitude of the recent move, a slightly wider than normal stop is also warranted, a further argument for reducing size. Of course, if the EURUSD short is stopped out, the synthetic USDJPY long will be reduced.

See the model account's positions and orders below:

tsnagger_PO

 

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About the Saxo Bank TrendSnagger Model

The TrendSnagger trading model is designed to capture FX trends. Unlike one-dimensional trend-following models that attempt only to maximize exposure during well-defined trends, this model applies a set of pattern recognition and other rules that are overlaid on the trend following rules to take partial profits at pro-trend extremes and to limit draw-downs, depending on the context. The model is rules based. The basic entries are strictly defined and the stop levels are absolute, although there is some room for discretion on the profit-taking side.



The FX Trend Snagger Model is one of 4 trading models on TradingFloor.com which are tried and tested with an actual funded trading account from Saxo Bank. Also see Turtle Model, Momentum Allocation Model and BottomFisher Model

Disclaimer

Saxo Bank provides an execution-only service. The material on this website does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) investment advice or an investment recommendation, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Saxo Bank accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result.

Please read our full disclaimers:

Disclaimer

Saxo Bank provides an execution-only service. The material on this website does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) investment advice or an investment recommendation, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Saxo Bank accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result.

Please read our full disclaimers:
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