Market Analysis
30 November 2009
John J. Hardy, FX Consultant, Saxo Bank
Here we take a look at highlighted event risks for the rest of the week as a new month gets under way tomorrow. The RBA is coming right up in the Asian session and offers plenty of interest due to split market anticipation of a rate hike.
30 November 2009
John J. Hardy, FX Consultant, Saxo Bank
Here we have a look at the degree to which the "Dubai shock" has affected the various global risk factors that feed into the USD carry trade.
30 November 2009
John J. Hardy, FX Consultant, Saxo Bank
Market trying to figure out whether to brush off the dust from last week's Dubai shock, which continues to rumble through emerging markets. A key rate setting meeting is on tap tonight from the RBA, as the market is relatively evenly split on whether the RBA Is set to hike rates. A busy week for US data also lies ahead.
26 November 2009
David Karsbøl, Chief Economist, Saxo Bank
The market is in “pull-back mode” after the USD broke key supports vs. JPY and EUR on Wednesday. The reason is probably Thanksgiving and the thin and spiky market conditions towards the weekend. We will be careful and not read too much from the technical developments in this time span, but here are things as we see them:
25 November 2009
Andrew Robinson, FX Analyst, Saxo Capital Markets
Once again the risk “scare” that was a major feature of the Asian session yesterday proved fleeting and both the European and US sessions reverted back to broad-based dollar selling.
24 November 2009
John J. Hardy, FX Consultant, Saxo Bank
USDJPY bearing down on major support levels, hasn't closed a trading week this low since 1995. US Treasury auctions today and tomorrow likely to determine the JPY's direction from here.US Consumer Confidence next major data point in focus.
24 November 2009
Andrew Robinson, FX Analyst, Saxo Capital Markets
A combination of earlier dovish Fed comments and strong US economic data releases helped to pin the dollar down after its slide during the Asian session yesterday. Existing home sales in October showed a phenomenal jump from the previous month, up 10.1% following a revised 8.8% jump the previous month.
23 November 2009
John J. Hardy, FX Consultant, Saxo Bank
The risk rally faded in the early US hours, though the pullback in risk was relatively less sharp in currencies. Lots of economic data in focus tomorrow.
23 November 2009
John J. Hardy, FX Consultant, Saxo Bank
AUDUSD has coming flying off of Friday's low after teasing the market with a false break of the long established rising trendline. Here we have a look at the levels that are the last hope for the bears.