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Market Analysis

26 January 2010

FX Closing Note: Long-legged doji rhymes with uncertainty

John J. Hardy, FX Consultant, Saxo Bank

Market feels like it has become very emotion as we are perched at key pivot areas for the risk and the USD ahead of tomorrow's Obama speech, the FOMC meeting. USD Index  - a brick wall at the 200-day moving average - or is the greenback a cheetah ready to pounce?

26 January 2010

FX Update: Renewed Chinese tightening keeps risk appetite at bay

John J. Hardy, FX Consultant, Saxo Bank

Chinese banks are cracking down hard on lending activity. This sent Chinese stocks to a new multi-month low and soured risk appetite elsewhere. The pound is on the defensive after yet another ugly GDP reading. Is it time for a EURGBP rally?

26 January 2010

FX Update: Further increases in China banks’ reserve ratios puts risk on the ropes

Andrew Robinson, FX Analyst, Saxo Capital Markets

Currency markets were mostly range-bound overnight though with pockets of action throughout the day. The only data release in Europe – German consumer confidence – gave the EUR a temporary lift as it beat forecasts (+3.2 versus 3.1 expected) while talk that the Greek debt auction was experiencing high demand also provided impetus. Results suggest the issue was more than 3x over-subscribed though Greece had to pay a premium over last time while strong demand from official European sources took some of the shine off the mood.

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